GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·UAPB radioLion Sports Network
ALCN radioBraves Sports Network
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Alcorn State a 62% chance.
SeriesAlcorn State leads 8–6 · Arkansas-Pine Bluff won the last meeting, 24–20 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
ALCN win
62% One-score game
35%
62% One-score game
35%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ALCN
Neutral site EVEN
Model projection ALCN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Alcorn St
Your sims:Sims: ALCN 0, UAPB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Alcorn State Stats ComparisonUAPB vs Alcorn State Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Arkansas-Pine BluffUAPB | Alcorn StateALCN | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.5 | PPG | 29.5 |
| 34.5 | PA/G | 28 |
| 292 | YDS/G | 305.5 |
| 170.5 | PASS/G | 217.5 |
| 121.5 | RUSH/G | 88 |
| 5.6 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9 |
| 20.0% | 3RD DOWN | 50.0% |
| 0.18 | OFF PPA | 0.16 |
| 0.28 | DEF PPA | 0.18 |
| 34.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 38.9% |
| 50.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 46.2% |
| 1.75 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.41 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Simmons Bank Liberty StadiumLocationMemphis, TN
Capacity58,325
SurfaceTurf
Opened1965
Elevation297 ft
FAN NEWS
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