GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·UConnCONN0–0
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives James Madison a 67% chance.
SeriesJames Madison leads 1–0 · James Madison won the last meeting, 44–6 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) JMU
Home-field edge CONN
Model projection JMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
James Madison @ UConn
Your sims:Sims: CONN 0, JMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
James Madison vs UConn Stats ComparisonJMU vs UConn Stats Comparison
2025 stats| James MadisonJMU | UConnCONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 37.1#9 | PPG | 35.3#15 |
| 18.4#13 | PA/G | 27#81 |
| 454.9#15 | YDS/G | 448.5#20 |
| 211.1#88 | PASS/G | 283.8#12 |
| 243.7#6 | RUSH/G | 164.7#60 |
| 6.5#21 | YDS/PLAY | 6.8#11 |
| 46.7%#17 | 3RD DOWN | 40.6%#59 |
| +1#66 | TO MARGIN | +15#3 |
| 0.23#31 | OFF PPA | 0.31#9 |
| 0.00#6 | DEF PPA | 0.21#108 |
| 45.2%#36 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.9%#28 |
| 30.1%#1 | DEF SUCCESS | 46.2%#125 |
| 8.0% | RET PROD | 2.3% |
| 1.30#37 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34#21 |
| -0.9 | SP+ | -11.9 |
| -2.0#75 | FPI | -11.2#114 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Pratt & Whitney StadiumLocationEast Hartford, CT
Capacity40,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2003
Elevation21 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 11 GAMES
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