GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TXST
Home-field edge ORST
Model projection ORST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Texas State @ Oregon State
Your sims:Sims: ORST 0, TXST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Oregon State
Oregon State2025: 2–10 (1–1 PAC)
Lat Washington State32–8Lat Tulsa31–14Lvs Sam Houston21–17Oregon State2025: 2–10 (1–1 PAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Texas State vs Oregon State Stats ComparisonTexas State vs Oregon State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Texas StateTXST | Oregon StateORST | |
|---|---|---|
| 36.5#12 | PPG | 18.2#125 |
| 29#95 | PA/G | 29.4#98 |
| 473.5#5 | YDS/G | 352.7#95 |
| 250.8#43 | PASS/G | 225.4#66 |
| 222.7#10 | RUSH/G | 127.2#103 |
| 6.7#13 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1#111 |
| 46.0%#23 | 3RD DOWN | 35.9%#102 |
| 0.31#10 | OFF PPA | 0.06#120 |
| 0.16#71 | DEF PPA | 0.18#87 |
| 45.8%#29 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.4%#67 |
| 41.1%#61 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.8%#38 |
| 76.0% | RET PROD | 57.9% |
| 1.35#18 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.07#135 |
| −5#103 | TO MARGIN | −10#123 |
| -2.1 | SP+ | -5.6 |
| -4.3#84 | FPI | -8.1#98 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Reser StadiumLocationCorvallis, OR
Capacity43,363
SurfaceTurf
Opened1953
Elevation220 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Texas State or Oregon State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 10 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
