Oregon State @ Boise State, Week 11 · 2026

@#21

GAME DAY

Week 11 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Boise State a 60% chance.

SeriesOregon State leads 6–5 · Boise State won the last meeting, 34–18 · 2024

WIN PROBABILITY
BOIS 60% ORST 40%
PROJECTED FINAL
BOIS win
60%
One-score game
38%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SP+) BOIS
Home-field edge BOIS
Model projection BOIS
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Oregon State @ Boise State

Your sims:Sims: BOIS 0, ORST 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Oregon State vs Boise State Stats ComparisonOregon State vs Boise State Stats Comparison

Oregon StateORSTBoise StateBOIS
42.7#4PPG35#37
23.1#65PA/G22.3#58
509.4#6YDS/G450.5#27
46.5%#273RD DOWN50.0%#17
1611ELO1691

THE VENUE

Albertsons Stadium
LocationBoise, ID
Capacity36,387
SurfaceTurf
Opened1970
Elevation2,701 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 11 GAMES

#24@#3
#22@#5
#16@#6
#10@#25
TBD
CFB VIBES MODELARIZ 51% to win
#20@#12
67Games in Week 11Full schedule →