GAME DAY
Week 7 · TBDMASS radioMinuteman Sports Network
BUF radioBulls Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Buffalo a 93% chance.
SeriesBuffalo leads 10–2 · Buffalo won the last meeting, 28–21 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BUF
Home-field edge BUF
Model projection BUF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Massachusetts @ Buffalo
Your sims:Sims: BUF 0, MASS 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Massachusetts
Massachusetts2025: 0–12 (0–8 MAC)
Lvs Bowling Green45–14Lat Ohio42–14Lvs Northern Illinois45–3Massachusetts2025: 0–12 (0–8 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Massachusetts vs Buffalo Stats ComparisonMASS vs Buffalo Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MassachusettsMASS | BuffaloBUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 11.1#136 | PPG | 24#93 |
| 38.6#136 | PA/G | 23.5#54 |
| 247.5#136 | YDS/G | 362.2#85 |
| 165.1#120 | PASS/G | 229#64 |
| 82.4#134 | RUSH/G | 133.2#97 |
| 3.9#136 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#97 |
| 30.7%#132 | 3RD DOWN | 35.8%#103 |
| 0.26#128 | DEF PPA | 0.11#48 |
| 33.6%#134 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.6%#106 |
| 48.0%#131 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.8%#38 |
| 1.18#108 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#114 |
| −7#112 | TO MARGIN | −7#112 |
| -0.03#136 | OFF PPA | 0.08#113 |
| -56.7% | RET PROD | -0.8% |
| -32.9 | SP+ | -12.7 |
| -18.8#137 | FPI | -10.8#113 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
UB StadiumLocationAmherst, NY
Capacity30,270
SurfaceTurf
Opened1993
Elevation596 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Massachusetts or Buffalo?
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