GAME DAY
Week 8 · TBDBGSU radioFalcon Radio Network
BUF radioBulls Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Buffalo a 64% chance.
SeriesBowling Green leads 13–9 · Buffalo won the last meeting, 28–3 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BUF
Home-field edge BUF
Model projection BUF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Bowling Green @ Buffalo
Your sims:Sims: BUF 0, BGSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Bowling Green
Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)
Wat Massachusetts45–14Lvs Akron19–16Lat Eastern Michigan27–21Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Bowling Green vs Buffalo Stats ComparisonBGSU vs Buffalo Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Bowling GreenBGSU | BuffaloBUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5#117 | PPG | 24#93 |
| 24.2#63 | PA/G | 23.5#54 |
| 306.8#125 | YDS/G | 362.2#85 |
| 151.2#126 | PASS/G | 229#64 |
| 155.5#71 | RUSH/G | 133.2#97 |
| 4.9#120 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#97 |
| 36.7%#98 | 3RD DOWN | 35.8%#103 |
| 0.03#129 | OFF PPA | 0.08#113 |
| 0.15#60 | DEF PPA | 0.11#48 |
| 35.9%#127 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.6%#106 |
| 40.5%#55 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.8%#38 |
| 1.24#68 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#114 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | −7#112 |
| -6.2% | RET PROD | -0.8% |
| -15.0 | SP+ | -12.7 |
| -13.7#123 | FPI | -10.8#113 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
UB StadiumLocationAmherst, NY
Capacity30,270
SurfaceTurf
Opened1993
Elevation596 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Bowling Green or Buffalo?
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MORE WEEK 8 GAMES
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