GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Washington opens a 23.5-point favorite. Our model gives Washington a 92% chance.
SeriesWashington leads 69–32–4 · Washington won the last meeting, 59–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) WASH
Home-field edge WASH
Market lean WASH
Model projection WASH
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Washington State @ Washington
Your sims:Sims: WASH 0, WSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Washington State
Washington State2025: 7–6 (1–1 PAC)
Wvs Utah State34–21Wvs Oregon State32–8Lat James Madison24–20Washington State2025: 7–6 (1–1 PAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADWSU +23.5WASH −23.5
TOTALOver 50.5Under 50.5
MONEYLINEWSU +1200WASH −2400
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Washington State vs Washington Stats ComparisonWSU vs Washington Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Washington StateWSU | WashingtonWASH | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5#105 | PPG | 34.1#17 |
| 20.2#26 | PA/G | 18.7#15 |
| 339.8#107 | YDS/G | 411.2#38 |
| 210.4#89 | PASS/G | 244.5#52 |
| 129.5#101 | RUSH/G | 166.8#57 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 6.4#22 |
| 38.1%#87 | 3RD DOWN | 50.3%#9 |
| 0.13#92 | OFF PPA | 0.29#19 |
| 0.09#36 | DEF PPA | 0.06#19 |
| 41.6%#78 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.9%#10 |
| 41.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.0%#29 |
| 91.3% | RET PROD | 54.4% |
| 1.11#131 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26#53 |
| −10#123 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| -4.3 | SP+ | 15.8 |
| -4.1#83 | FPI | 9.9#26 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Husky StadiumLocationSeattle, WA
Capacity70,138
SurfaceTurf
Opened1920
Elevation38 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
