MUSTANG NATION · BIG SKY · 2026 SEASON

Cal Poly Mustangs Football

Everything Cal Poly football: schedule, scores, roster, stats, odds, history, head-to-head series, game day info and matchup simulator.

vs Utah Tech
Alex G. Spanos Stadium
UTU 43, CP 26
FINAL
Next: @ Montana State · Sat, Oct 31
Box score →

Cal Poly vs Montana StateCP vs MTST · Week 9

How to Watch →

Cal Poly is 4–5. The Mustangs lost 43–26 to Utah Tech last time out. Next up, Cal Poly visits Montana State at Bobcat Stadium on at , on ESPN+ / Scripps Sports.

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SEASON

CFB VIBES MODEL

10,000 simulations10K sims

The Read

Our model gives Cal Poly a 9% chance.

WIN PROBABILITY
MTST 91% CP 9%
PROJECTED FINAL
CP win
9%
One-score game
17%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) MTST
Home-field edge MTST
Model projection MTST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Cal Poly @ Montana State

Your sims:Sims: CP 0, MTST 0

@
Cal Poly @ Montana State
CFB VIBES MODELMTST 91% to win
@
Northern Arizona @ Cal Poly
CFB VIBES MODELNAU 57% to win
@
Cal Poly @ UC Davis
CFB VIBES MODELUCD 61% to win
PlaceTEAMCONFOVERALL
5IdahoIDHO3–23–5
6Weber StateWEB4–35–4
7Cal PolyCP3–34–5
8Southern UtahSUU3–33–5
9Idaho StateIDST2–35–3