GAME DAY
Week 4 · TBDIllinoisILL0–0·B1G
Ohio StateOSU0–0·B1G
ILL radioIllini Sports Network
OSU radioOhio State Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Ohio State a 94% chance.
SeriesOhio State leads 70–30–4 · Ohio State won the last meeting, 34–16 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) OSU
Home-field edge OSU
Model projection OSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Illinois @ Ohio State
Your sims:Sims: OSU 0, ILL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Illinois vs Ohio State Stats ComparisonIllinois vs Ohio State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| IllinoisILL | Ohio StateOSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.4#52 | PPG | 33.4#21 |
| 23.6#56 | PA/G | 9.3#1 |
| 373.9#80 | YDS/G | 423#26 |
| 235.8#59 | PASS/G | 268.2#23 |
| 138.2#88 | RUSH/G | 154.8#74 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| 42.1%#43 | 3RD DOWN | 52.6%#3 |
| +5#35 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| 0.21#39 | OFF PPA | 0.33#7 |
| 47.5%#15 | OFF SUCCESS | 53.2%#1 |
| 45.0%#121 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.8%#12 |
| 21.1% | RET PROD | 68.3% |
| 1.16#116 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#124 |
| 10.4 | SP+ | 32.7 |
| 6.3#39 | FPI | 28.7#1 |
| 0.19#97 | DEF PPA | -0.01#5 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Ohio StadiumLocationColumbus, OH
Capacity102,780
SurfaceTurf
Opened1922
Elevation711 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Illinois or Ohio State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 4 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
