GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·VirginiaUVA4–3·ACC
UVA radioVirginia Sports Radio Network
WAKE radioDemon Deacon Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Wake Forest a 64% chance.
SeriesVirginia leads 34–18 · Wake Forest won the last meeting, 16–9 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WAKE
Home-field edge WAKE
Model projection WAKE
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Virginia @ Wake Forest
Your sims:Sims: WAKE 0, UVA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelWAKE 64%MarketWAKE 78%
Market 14 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $147 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:00 AM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Virginia vs Wake Forest Stats ComparisonVirginia vs Wake Forest Stats Comparison
| VirginiaUVA | Wake ForestWAKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 30#65 | PPG | 37.4#21 |
| 19.7#38 | PA/G | 19.4#36 |
| 362.9#90 | YDS/G | 445.9#32 |
| 206#96 | PASS/G | 290.3#13 |
| 156.9#68 | RUSH/G | 155.6#69 |
| 5.5#97 | YDS/PLAY | 6.8#14 |
| 33.0%#121 | 3RD DOWN | 48.9%#20 |
| +5#16 | TO MARGIN | +1#61 |
| 0.17#57 | OFF PPA | 0.34#7 |
| 0.01#40 | DEF PPA | 0.04#55 |
| 44.0%#62 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.2%#25 |
| 38.4%#48 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.0%#89 |
| 9.5% | RET PROD | 14.2% |
| 1.15#110 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31#28 |
| 1582 | ELO | 1766 |
| 8.5 | SP+ | 10.5 |
| 5.6#50 | FPI | 15.4#16 |
| 2.1 | SRS | 12.9 |
THE VENUE
Allegacy Federal Credit Union StadiumLocationWinston-Salem, NC
Capacity31,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation930 ft
FAN NEWS
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