GAME DAY
Week 9 · TBDVirginiaUVA1–0·ACC
UVA radioVirginia Sports Radio Network
WAKE radioDemon Deacon Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Virginia a 52% chance.
SeriesVirginia leads 34–18 · Wake Forest won the last meeting, 16–9 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UVA
Home-field edge WAKE
Model projection UVA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Virginia @ Wake Forest
Your sims:Sims: WAKE 0, UVA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Virginia
Virginia2026: 1–0 (1–0 ACC)
Wvs NC State34–8Virginia2026: 1–0 (1–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Virginia vs Wake Forest Stats ComparisonVirginia vs Wake Forest Stats Comparison
2025 stats| VirginiaUVA | Wake ForestWAKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8#37 | PPG | 28.1#62 |
| 19.6#22 | PA/G | 22.1#44 |
| 419.1#29 | YDS/G | 393.8#63 |
| 239.1#55 | PASS/G | 237.7#58 |
| 179.9#37 | RUSH/G | 156.2#70 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 49.8%#11 | 3RD DOWN | 40.0%#67 |
| 0.17#61 | OFF PPA | 0.16#77 |
| 0.06#23 | DEF PPA | 0.04#13 |
| 41.4%#80 | OFF SUCCESS | 38.0%#116 |
| 36.9%#18 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.5%#10 |
| 9.5% | RET PROD | 14.2% |
| 1.28#46 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.48#3 |
| 8.1 | SP+ | 3.4 |
| 7.9#32 | FPI | 3.4#53 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | −6#108 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Allegacy Federal Credit Union StadiumLocationWinston-Salem, NC
Capacity31,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation930 ft
FAN NEWS
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