GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDCaliforniaCAL3–4·ACC
VirginiaUVA4–3·ACC
CAL radioCal Bears Sports Network
UVA radioVirginia Sports Radio Network
Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Virginia a 82% chance.
SeriesVirginia leads 1–0 · Virginia won the last meeting, 31–21 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UVA
Home-field edge UVA
Model projection UVA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
California @ Virginia
Your sims:Sims: UVA 0, CAL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
California vs Virginia Stats ComparisonCalifornia vs Virginia Stats Comparison
| CaliforniaCAL | VirginiaUVA | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.9#96 | PPG | 30#65 |
| 27.7#104 | PA/G | 19.7#38 |
| 378.4#79 | YDS/G | 362.9#90 |
| 288.1#15 | PASS/G | 206#96 |
| 90.3#137 | RUSH/G | 156.9#68 |
| 5.4#104 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#97 |
| 37.5%#85 | 3RD DOWN | 33.0%#121 |
| +1#61 | TO MARGIN | +5#15 |
| 0.12#98 | DEF PPA | 0.01#40 |
| 38.4%#123 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.0%#61 |
| 38.1%#45 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.4%#48 |
| 58.3% | RET PROD | 9.5% |
| 1.23#71 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#110 |
| 1296 | ELO | 1582 |
| -0.02#126 | OFF PPA | 0.17#58 |
| -2.5 | SP+ | 8.5 |
| -3.9#88 | FPI | 5.6#50 |
| -6.3 | SRS | 2.1 |
THE VENUE
Scott StadiumLocationCharlottesville, VA
Capacity61,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1931
Elevation559 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about California or Virginia?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
