GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDUNC radioTar Heel Sports Network
UVA radioVirginia Sports Radio Network
Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Virginia a 68% chance.
SeriesNorth Carolina leads 65–51–4 · Virginia won the last meeting, 17–16 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UVA
Home-field edge UVA
Model projection UVA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Carolina @ Virginia
Your sims:Sims: UVA 0, UNC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Carolina vs Virginia Stats ComparisonUNC vs Virginia Stats Comparison
| North CarolinaUNC | VirginiaUVA | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5#99 | PPG | 30#65 |
| 19.2#34 | PA/G | 19.7#38 |
| 329.7#117 | YDS/G | 362.9#90 |
| 213.5#89 | PASS/G | 206#96 |
| 116.2#120 | RUSH/G | 156.9#68 |
| 5.7#82 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#97 |
| 37.3%#87 | 3RD DOWN | 33.0%#121 |
| 0.10#89 | OFF PPA | 0.17#57 |
| 0.02#46 | DEF PPA | 0.01#40 |
| 44.4%#58 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.0%#62 |
| 42.5%#94 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.4%#48 |
| 27.8% | RET PROD | 9.5% |
| 1.11#125 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#110 |
| 1470 | ELO | 1582 |
| 4.9 | SP+ | 8.5 |
| 8.7#41 | FPI | 5.6#50 |
| 9.5 | SRS | 2.1 |
| −2#91 | TO MARGIN | +5#16 |
THE VENUE
Scott StadiumLocationCharlottesville, VA
Capacity61,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1931
Elevation559 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about North Carolina or Virginia?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 12 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
