GAME DAY
Week 4 · TBDBALL radioCardinal Sports Network
KENT radioFlashes Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Kent State a 67% chance.
SeriesBall State leads 25–8 · Ball State won the last meeting, 17–13 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) KENT
Home-field edge KENT
Model projection KENT
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Ball State @ Kent State
Your sims:Sims: KENT 0, BALL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Kent State
Kent State2025: 5–7 (4–4 MAC)
Wat Northern Illinois35–31Lvs Central Michigan28–16Wat Akron42–35 (OT)Kent State2025: 5–7 (4–4 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Ball State vs Kent State Stats ComparisonBall State vs Kent State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Ball StateBALL | Kent StateKENT | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.8#132 | PPG | 21.2#115 |
| 29.8#101 | PA/G | 33.6#128 |
| 271.7#134 | YDS/G | 295.4#128 |
| 138#131 | PASS/G | 197.1#99 |
| 133.7#96 | RUSH/G | 98.3#130 |
| 4.5#133 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#104 |
| 33.5%#119 | 3RD DOWN | 27.6%#135 |
| 0.18#87 | DEF PPA | 0.20#103 |
| 32.5%#136 | OFF SUCCESS | 34.7%#131 |
| 44.7%#113 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.3%#108 |
| 5.7% | RET PROD | 64.1% |
| 1.32#29 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.36#14 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| -0.00#133 | OFF PPA | 0.07#118 |
| -25.1 | SP+ | -22.4 |
| -17.3#134 | FPI | -17.9#135 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Dix StadiumLocationKent, OH
Capacity25,319
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation1,054 ft
FAN NEWS
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