GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·North AlabamaUNA–
ArkansasARK0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Arkansas opens a 40.5-point favorite. Our model gives Arkansas a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
North Alabama
14
ARK win
99% One-score game
4% Cover ARK −40.5
40%
99% One-score game
4% Cover ARK −40.5
40%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge ARK
Market lean ARK
Model projection ARK
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
North Alabama @ Arkansas
Your sims:Sims: ARK 0, UNA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3North AlabamaNorth Alabama2025: 0–1
Lat Western Kentucky55–6Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Arkansas99%- North Alabama2%
CFB Vibes ModelARK 99%MarketARK 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $37,830 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUNA +40.5ARK −40.5
TOTALOver 63.5Under 63.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
North Alabama vs Arkansas Stats ComparisonUNA vs Arkansas Stats Comparison
2025 stats| North AlabamaUNA | ArkansasARK | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 32.9#23 |
| – | PA/G | 33.8#129 |
| – | YDS/G | 455.1#14 |
| – | PASS/G | 262.9#30 |
| – | RUSH/G | 192.2#28 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 7#5 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 47.2%#15 |
| – | TO MARGIN | −11#127 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.30#13 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.25#123 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 48.7%#11 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 46.0%#124 |
| – | RET PROD | 14.5% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33#23 |
| – | SP+ | 5.6 |
| – | FPI | 4.4#47 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Razorback StadiumLocationFayetteville, AR
Capacity80,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1938
Elevation1,325 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about North Alabama or Arkansas?
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
