GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·Mississippi Valley StateMVSU–
StreamingESPN+
SAC radioHornet Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Sacramento State opens a 37.5-point favorite. Our model gives Sacramento State a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
Mississippi Valley State
10
SAC win
99% One-score game
3%
99% One-score game
3%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge SAC
Market lean SAC
Model projection SAC
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Mississippi Valley St @ Sacramento St
Your sims:Sims: SAC 0, MVSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Sacramento State
Sacramento State2026: 0–1 (0–1 MAC)
Lat Eastern Michigan28–17Sacramento State2026: 0–1 (0–1 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADMVSU +37.5SAC −37.5
TOTALOver 56.5Under 56.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Mississippi Valley State vs Sacramento State Stats ComparisonMVSU vs SAC Stats Comparison
| Mississippi Valley StateMVSU | Sacramento StateSAC | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 17 |
| – | PA/G | 28 |
| – | YDS/G | 268 |
| – | PASS/G | 219 |
| – | RUSH/G | 49 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 4.3 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 21.4% |
| – | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| – | OFF PPA | -0.08 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.06 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 34.4% |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 41.4% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.03 |
| – | SP+ | -23.4 |
| – | FPI | -10.4#111 |
THE VENUE
Hornet StadiumLocationSacramento, CA
Capacity21,195
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation40 ft
FAN NEWS
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