GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Fresno State a 94% chance.
SeriesFresno State leads 5–0 · Fresno State won the last meeting, 46–30 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FRES
Home-field edge FRES
Model projection FRES
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Sacramento State @ Fresno State
Your sims:Sims: FRES 0, SAC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Sacramento State
Sacramento State2026: 0–1 (0–1 MAC)
Lat Eastern Michigan28–17Sacramento State2026: 0–1 (0–1 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Sacramento State vs Fresno State Stats ComparisonSAC vs Fresno State Stats Comparison
| Sacramento StateSAC | Fresno StateFRES | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | PPG | – |
| 28 | PA/G | – |
| 268 | YDS/G | – |
| 219 | PASS/G | – |
| 49 | RUSH/G | – |
| 4.3 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 21.4% | 3RD DOWN | – |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | – |
| -0.08 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.06 | DEF PPA | – |
| 34.4% | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 41.4% | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| – | RET PROD | 38.3% |
| 1.03 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| -23.4 | SP+ | -1.4 |
| -10.4#111 | FPI | -2.5#77 |
THE VENUE
Valley Children's StadiumLocationFresno, CA
Capacity41,031
SurfaceTurf
Opened1980
Elevation336 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Sacramento State or Fresno State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
