GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Liberty a 84% chance.
SeriesLiberty leads 3–1 since 2020 · Florida International won the last meeting, 34–27 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LIB
Home-field edge LIB
Model projection LIB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Florida International @ Liberty
Your sims:Sims: LIB 0, FIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida International
Lat Jacksonville State27–24Wvs New Mexico State22–3Wvs Long Island University20–3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelLIB 84%MarketLIB 75%
Market 9 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $0 traded · as of Oct 20, 8:20 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Florida International vs Liberty Stats ComparisonFIU vs Liberty Stats Comparison
| Florida InternationalFIU | LibertyLIB | |
|---|---|---|
| 19.7#122 | PPG | 31.2#58 |
| 14.7#9 | PA/G | 15.3#15 |
| 382.7#76 | YDS/G | 415.8#52 |
| 262.7#37 | PASS/G | 192.8#105 |
| 120#117 | RUSH/G | 223#15 |
| 5.4#104 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5#28 |
| 46.4%#29 | 3RD DOWN | 45.2%#35 |
| 0.03#113 | OFF PPA | 0.17#59 |
| 39.4%#109 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.0%#28 |
| 35.4%#22 | DEF SUCCESS | 34.1%#10 |
| 31.6% | RET PROD | 38.3% |
| 1.14#113 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13#117 |
| 1424 | ELO | 1746 |
| −1#82 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| -0.03#25 | DEF PPA | -0.04#18 |
| -5.4 | SP+ | 7.3 |
| -9.2#103 | FPI | 0.7#64 |
| -8.7 | SRS | 2.7 |
THE VENUE
Williams Stadium (VA)LocationLynchburg, VA
Capacity25,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1989
Elevation895 ft
FAN NEWS
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