GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Duke a 85% chance.
SeriesBoston College leads 5–4 · Duke won the last meeting, 38–31 · 2022
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) DUKE
Home-field edge DUKE
Model projection DUKE
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Boston College @ Duke
Your sims:Sims: DUKE 0, BC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Boston College
Wvs Pittsburgh27–21Lat SMU25–16Lvs Virginia Tech21–14
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelDUKE 85%MarketDUKE 81%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $81 traded · as of Oct 20, 1:40 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Boston College vs Duke Stats ComparisonBC vs Duke Stats Comparison
| Boston CollegeBC | DukeDUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 20.3#118 | PPG | 31.7#52 |
| 23#63 | PA/G | 16#19 |
| 355#98 | YDS/G | 442.7#37 |
| 210.3#92 | PASS/G | 233.2#66 |
| 144.7#86 | RUSH/G | 209.5#22 |
| 5.5#97 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3#43 |
| 36.7%#94 | 3RD DOWN | 46.5%#27 |
| +1#61 | TO MARGIN | +2#47 |
| 0.01#119 | OFF PPA | 0.26#23 |
| 0.03#48 | DEF PPA | 0.03#50 |
| 39.0%#114 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.6%#68 |
| 40.4%#66 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.9%#50 |
| 15.6% | RET PROD | 17.1% |
| 1.31#27 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#26 |
| 1402 | ELO | 1632 |
| -4.9 | SP+ | 8.2 |
| -2.6#82 | FPI | 7.8#44 |
| -9.5 | SRS | 6.4 |
THE VENUE
Wallace Wade StadiumLocationDurham, NC
Capacity40,004
SurfaceGrass
Opened1929
Elevation338 ft
FAN NEWS
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