GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDNC StateNCSU3–3·ACC
DUKE radioDuke Radio Network
NCSU radioWolfpack Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Duke a 63% chance.
SeriesDuke leads 44–37–5 · Duke won the last meeting, 45–33 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) DUKE
Home-field edge NCSU
Model projection DUKE
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Duke @ NC State
Your sims:Sims: NCSU 0, DUKE 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Duke vs NC State Stats ComparisonDuke vs NC State Stats Comparison
| DukeDUKE | NC StateNCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.7#52 | PPG | 33#44 |
| 16#19 | PA/G | 27.7#104 |
| 442.7#37 | YDS/G | 426.3#43 |
| 233.2#66 | PASS/G | 257.8#41 |
| 209.5#22 | RUSH/G | 168.5#54 |
| 6.3#43 | YDS/PLAY | 6#59 |
| 46.5%#27 | 3RD DOWN | 51.7%#12 |
| 0.26#23 | OFF PPA | 0.19#48 |
| 0.03#50 | DEF PPA | 0.16#110 |
| 43.6%#68 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.6%#45 |
| 38.9%#50 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.0%#89 |
| 17.1% | RET PROD | 59.9% |
| 1.32#26 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#66 |
| 1632 | ELO | 1471 |
| 7.8#44 | FPI | 1.1#62 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | −1#82 |
| 8.2 | SP+ | -1.3 |
| 6.4 | SRS | -2.2 |
THE VENUE
Carter-Finley StadiumLocationRaleigh, NC
Capacity58,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1966
Elevation384 ft
FAN NEWS
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