GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDDUKE radioDuke Radio Network
MIA radioHurricane Sports Network
Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Miami opens a 21-point favorite. Our model gives Miami a 91% chance.
SeriesMiami leads 16–5 · Miami won the last meeting, 53–31 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) MIA
Home-field edge MIA
Market lean MIA
Model projection MIA
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Duke @ Miami
Your sims:Sims: MIA 0, DUKE 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADDUKE +21MIA −21
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
MONEYLINEDUKE +1000MIA −1800
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Duke vs Miami Stats ComparisonDuke vs Miami Stats Comparison
| DukeDUKE | MiamiMIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.7#52 | PPG | 48.5#1 |
| 16#19 | PA/G | 14#7 |
| 442.7#37 | YDS/G | 559.5#2 |
| 233.2#66 | PASS/G | 333#3 |
| 209.5#22 | RUSH/G | 226.5#13 |
| 6.3#43 | YDS/PLAY | 8.1#1 |
| 46.5%#27 | 3RD DOWN | 51.6%#13 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | +4#22 |
| 0.26#23 | OFF PPA | 0.39#1 |
| 43.6%#68 | OFF SUCCESS | 53.9%#2 |
| 38.9%#50 | DEF SUCCESS | 34.5%#15 |
| 17.1% | RET PROD | 36.9% |
| 1.32#26 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30#32 |
| 1632 | ELO | 1982 |
| 8.2 | SP+ | 27.8 |
| 7.8#44 | FPI | 26.5#4 |
| 6.4 | SRS | 20.0 |
| 0.03#50 | DEF PPA | -0.04#21 |
THE VENUE
Hard Rock StadiumLocationMiami Gardens, FL
Capacity64,767
SurfaceTurf
Opened1987
Elevation9 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Duke or Miami?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
