GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDDUKE radioDuke Radio Network
MIA radioHurricane Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Miami opens a 21-point favorite. Our model gives Miami a 91% chance.
SeriesMiami leads 16–5 · Miami won the last meeting, 53–31 · 2024
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADDUKE +21MIA −21
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
MONEYLINEDUKE +950MIA −1650
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Duke vs Miami Stats ComparisonDuke vs Miami Stats Comparison
2025 stats| DukeDUKE | MiamiMIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 34.6#16 | PPG | 30.9#35 |
| 29.4#98 | PA/G | 14.8#5 |
| 423.6#25 | YDS/G | 404.9#48 |
| 285.4#11 | PASS/G | 253.2#41 |
| 138.2#88 | RUSH/G | 151.8#77 |
| 6.2#27 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#31 |
| 39.0%#77 | 3RD DOWN | 46.5%#18 |
| +10#11 | TO MARGIN | +10#11 |
| 0.24#24 | OFF PPA | 0.22#32 |
| 0.22#113 | DEF PPA | 0.03#12 |
| 45.8%#29 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.8%#20 |
| 43.5%#96 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.9%#13 |
| 17.1% | RET PROD | 36.9% |
| 1.33#26 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#120 |
| 5.6 | SP+ | 22.0 |
| 3.5#52 | FPI | 21.8#7 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Hard Rock StadiumLocationMiami Gardens, FL
Capacity64,767
SurfaceTurf
Opened1987
Elevation9 ft
FAN NEWS
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