GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·ClemsonCLEM4–2·ACC
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Clemson opens a 2.5-point favorite. Our model gives Clemson a 55% chance.
SeriesClemson leads 23–11–1 · Clemson won the last meeting, 24–14 · 2024
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
CLEM win
55% One-score game
40% Cover CLEM −2.5
48%
55% One-score game
40% Cover CLEM −2.5
48%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) CLEM
Home-field edge CLEM
Market lean CLEM
Model projection CLEM
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Virginia Tech @ Clemson
Your sims:Sims: CLEM 0, VT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Virginia Tech
Wvs Georgia Tech34–24Lat California25–20Lvs Pittsburgh35–33
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelCLEM 55%MarketCLEM 56%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $8,455 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:40 AM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADVT +2.5CLEM −2.5
TOTALOver 49.5Under 49.5
MONEYLINEVT +124CLEM −148
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Virginia Tech vs Clemson Stats ComparisonVT vs Clemson Stats Comparison
| Virginia TechVT | ClemsonCLEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 37.1#23 | PPG | 22.3#106 |
| 21.1#46 | PA/G | 21.5#49 |
| 451.3#25 | YDS/G | 340.7#110 |
| 301.6#11 | PASS/G | 187.8#111 |
| 149.7#83 | RUSH/G | 152.8#74 |
| 6.2#50 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#124 |
| 41.0%#70 | 3RD DOWN | 33.3%#118 |
| 0.05#58 | DEF PPA | 0.02#45 |
| 46.0%#42 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.4%#126 |
| 35.7%#25 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.5%#69 |
| 36.7% | RET PROD | 41.4% |
| 1.27#41 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#110 |
| 1507 | ELO | 1515 |
| 9.5 | SP+ | 2.2 |
| 6.6#47 | FPI | 6.5#48 |
| 1.2 | SRS | 4.7 |
| −4#111 | TO MARGIN | −4#111 |
| 0.21#37 | OFF PPA | -0.03#127 |
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationClemson, SC
Capacity81,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1942
Elevation675 ft
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