GAME DAY
Week 7 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Oregon State a 56% chance.
SeriesWashington State leads 56–44–3 · Washington State won the last meeting, 32–8 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WSU
Home-field edge ORST
Model projection ORST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Washington State @ Oregon State
Your sims:Sims: ORST 0, WSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Washington State
Washington State2025: 7–6 (1–1 PAC)
Wvs Utah State34–21Wvs Oregon State32–8Lat James Madison24–20
Washington State2025: 7–6 (1–1 PAC)Oregon State
Oregon State2025: 2–10 (1–1 PAC)
Lat Washington State32–8Lat Tulsa31–14Lvs Sam Houston21–17
Oregon State2025: 2–10 (1–1 PAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Washington State vs Oregon State Stats ComparisonWSU vs Oregon State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Washington StateWSU | Oregon StateORST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5#105 | PPG | 18.2#125 |
| 20.2#26 | PA/G | 29.4#98 |
| 339.8#107 | YDS/G | 352.7#95 |
| 210.4#89 | PASS/G | 225.4#66 |
| 129.5#101 | RUSH/G | 127.2#103 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1#111 |
| 38.1%#87 | 3RD DOWN | 35.9%#102 |
| 0.13#92 | OFF PPA | 0.06#120 |
| 0.09#36 | DEF PPA | 0.18#87 |
| 41.6%#78 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.4%#67 |
| 41.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.8%#38 |
| 91.3% | RET PROD | 57.9% |
| 1.11#131 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.07#135 |
| −10#123 | TO MARGIN | −10#123 |
| -4.3 | SP+ | -5.6 |
| -4.1#83 | FPI | -8.1#98 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Reser StadiumLocationCorvallis, OR
Capacity43,363
SurfaceTurf
Opened1953
Elevation220 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Washington State or Oregon State?
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