GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDUNT radioMean Green Sports Network
UTSA radioRoadrunner Radio Network
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UTSA a 64% chance.
SeriesUTSA leads 8–6 since 2013 · North Texas won the last meeting, 55–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UTSA
Home-field edge UTSA
Model projection UTSA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Texas @ UTSA
Your sims:Sims: UTSA 0, UNT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3North Texas
Wvs Charlotte50–10Wat Tulsa45–44 (OT)Wvs Houston Christian63–14
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Texas vs UTSA Stats ComparisonNorth Texas vs UTSA Stats Comparison
| North TexasUNT | UTSAUTSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 42.2#5 | PPG | 32.3#49 |
| 29.2#113 | PA/G | 27#100 |
| 527.2#3 | YDS/G | 410.9#55 |
| 345.5#2 | PASS/G | 231.7#69 |
| 181.7#46 | RUSH/G | 179.1#49 |
| 7.2#7 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#53 |
| 48.8%#21 | 3RD DOWN | 36.8%#92 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | +4#22 |
| 0.30#14 | OFF PPA | 0.24#28 |
| 0.08#74 | DEF PPA | 0.10#83 |
| 48.0%#27 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.8%#41 |
| 41.1%#78 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.0%#89 |
| 2.5% | RET PROD | 66.9% |
| 1.33#18 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#99 |
| 1669 | ELO | 1523 |
| 6.8 | SRS | 0.1 |
| -1.0 | SP+ | 0.8 |
| 2.1#59 | FPI | -1.9#77 |
THE VENUE
AlamodomeLocationSan Antonio, TX
Capacity36,582
SurfaceTurf
Opened1993
Elevation661 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about North Texas or UTSA?
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