GAME DAY
Week 7 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UTEP a 52% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 5–5 · UTEP won the last meeting, 38–20 · 2004
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) SJSU
Home-field edge UTEP
Model projection UTEP
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
San José State @ UTEP
Your sims:Sims: UTEP 0, SJSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3San José State
San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lat USC42–26San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
San José State vs UTEP Stats ComparisonSJSU vs UTEP Stats Comparison
2025 stats| San José StateSJSU | UTEPUTEP | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.4#113 | PPG | 23.3#99 |
| 32.5#121 | PA/G | 30.4#110 |
| 403.2#50 | YDS/G | 331.8#113 |
| 283.2#13 | PASS/G | 216.2#84 |
| 120.1#111 | RUSH/G | 115.6#117 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1#111 |
| 42.6%#39 | 3RD DOWN | 30.3%#133 |
| 0.17#64 | OFF PPA | 0.01#131 |
| 0.20#105 | DEF PPA | 0.10#43 |
| 43.2%#57 | OFF SUCCESS | 32.8%#135 |
| 42.4%#83 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.9%#41 |
| 1.25#62 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.45#4 |
| −13#133 | TO MARGIN | −12#129 |
| 3.8% | RET PROD | -1.1% |
| -15.7 | SP+ | -19.3 |
| -14.3#124 | FPI | -16.6#132 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Sun BowlLocationEl Paso, TX
Capacity51,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1963
Elevation3,884 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about San José State or UTEP?
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