GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Miami (OH) opens a 2.5-point favorite. Our model gives Miami (OH) a 57% chance.
SeriesMiami (OH) leads 17–13–1 · Miami (OH) won the last meeting, 46–7 · 2024
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: CMU 0, M-OH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $1,643 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:40 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan Stats ComparisonMiami (OH) vs CMU Stats Comparison
| Miami (OH)M-OH | Central MichiganCMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.9#83 | PPG | 16.6#132 |
| 25.6#85 | PA/G | 25.6#85 |
| 357.9#96 | YDS/G | 292.4#134 |
| 216.3#84 | PASS/G | 108.1#135 |
| 141.6#92 | RUSH/G | 184.3#43 |
| 6.3#43 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#124 |
| 34.2%#113 | 3RD DOWN | 34.8%#110 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | +1#61 |
| 0.17#60 | OFF PPA | 0.05#103 |
| 0.12#92 | DEF PPA | 0.16#112 |
| 40.5%#98 | OFF SUCCESS | 38.8%#116 |
| 42.6%#97 | DEF SUCCESS | 46.8%#128 |
| 13.9% | RET PROD | 54.0% |
| 1.40#4 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#75 |
| 1259 | ELO | 1223 |
| -6.4 | SP+ | -16.7 |
| -9.8#106 | FPI | -14.3#121 |
| -8.8 | SRS | -12.6 |
THE VENUE
Kelly/Shorts StadiumFAN NEWS
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