GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·StreamingESPN+
TOL radioRocket Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Toledo a 91% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TOL
Home-field edge TOL
Model projection TOL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Central Connecticut @ Toledo
Your sims:Sims: TOL 0, CCSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Central ConnecticutCentral Connecticut2025: 0–1
Lat UConn59–13Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Central Connecticut vs Toledo Stats ComparisonCCSU vs Toledo Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Central ConnecticutCCSU | ToledoTOL | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 30.8#37 |
| – | PA/G | 13.3#4 |
| – | YDS/G | 415.8#34 |
| – | PASS/G | 238.1#57 |
| – | RUSH/G | 177.7#41 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 6.2#27 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 40.2%#64 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.20#43 |
| – | DEF PPA | -0.08#1 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 44.6%#43 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 33.1%#4 |
| – | RET PROD | 66.3% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#87 |
| – | SP+ | -9.1 |
| – | FPI | -3.0#79 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Glass BowlLocationToledo, OH
Capacity26,038
SurfaceTurf
Opened1937
Elevation595 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Central Connecticut or Toledo?
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