GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·VMIVMI–
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Virginia Tech opens a 55.5-point favorite. Our model gives Virginia Tech a 99% chance.
SeriesVirginia Tech leads 46–23–5 · Virginia Tech won the last meeting, 54–7 · 1984
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
VMI
13
VT win
99% One-score game
4% Cover VT −55.5
12%
99% One-score game
4% Cover VT −55.5
12%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge VT
Market lean VT
Model projection VT
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
VMI @ Virginia Tech
Your sims:Sims: VT 0, VMI 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3VMIVMI2025: 0–1
Lat Navy52–7Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Virginia Tech99%- VMI1%
CFB Vibes ModelVT 99%MarketVT 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $41,224 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADVMI +55.5VT −55.5
TOTALOver 62.5Under 62.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
VMI vs Virginia Tech Stats ComparisonVMI vs VT Stats Comparison
2025 stats| VMIVMI | Virginia TechVT | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 21.4#113 |
| – | PA/G | 30.2#106 |
| – | YDS/G | 349.5#97 |
| – | PASS/G | 166.3#119 |
| – | RUSH/G | 183.2#32 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 39.4%#72 |
| – | TO MARGIN | −9#120 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.17#64 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.27#131 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 41.8%#76 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 44.7%#113 |
| – | RET PROD | 36.7% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#63 |
| – | SP+ | 8.6 |
| – | FPI | 7.4#33 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Lane StadiumLocationBlacksburg, VA
Capacity65,632
SurfaceGrass
Opened1965
Elevation2,074 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about VMI or Virginia Tech?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
