GAME DAY
Week 6 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Utah State a 51% chance.
SeriesWashington State leads 4–2 · Washington State won the last meeting, 34–21 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WSU
Home-field edge USU
Model projection USU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Washington State @ Utah State
Your sims:Sims: USU 0, WSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Washington State
Washington State2025: 7–6 (1–1 PAC)
Wvs Utah State34–21Wvs Oregon State32–8Lat James Madison24–20
Washington State2025: 7–6 (1–1 PAC)Utah State
Utah State2025: 6–7 (4–4 MWC)
Lvs Washington State34–21Lvs Boise State25–24Wat Fresno State28–17
Utah State2025: 6–7 (4–4 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Washington State vs Utah State Stats ComparisonWSU vs Utah State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Washington StateWSU | Utah StateUSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5#105 | PPG | 30.9#35 |
| 20.2#26 | PA/G | 28.7#90 |
| 339.8#107 | YDS/G | 409.8#40 |
| 210.4#89 | PASS/G | 246.9#48 |
| 129.5#101 | RUSH/G | 162.9#62 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3#24 |
| 38.1%#87 | 3RD DOWN | 34.5%#111 |
| 0.13#92 | OFF PPA | 0.20#41 |
| 0.09#36 | DEF PPA | 0.20#101 |
| 41.6%#78 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.1%#83 |
| 41.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.7%#90 |
| 91.3% | RET PROD | 65.2% |
| 1.11#131 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.35#17 |
| −10#123 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| -4.3 | SP+ | -7.9 |
| -4.1#83 | FPI | -6.7#92 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Maverik StadiumLocationLogan, UT
Capacity25,513
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation4,685 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Washington State or Utah State?
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