GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·The CitadelCIT–
CharlotteCLT0–0·AAC
StreamingESPN+
CLT radio49ers Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Charlotte opens a 20.5-point favorite. Our model gives Charlotte a 94% chance.
SeriesThe Citadel leads 1–0 · The Citadel won the last meeting, 63–56 · 2014
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
The Citadel
12
CLT win
94% One-score game
13% Cover CLT −20.5
60%
94% One-score game
13% Cover CLT −20.5
60%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge CLT
Market lean CLT
Model projection CLT
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
The Citadel @ Charlotte
Your sims:Sims: CLT 0, CIT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Charlotte93%- The Citadel7%
CFB Vibes ModelCLT 94%MarketCLT 93%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $13,020 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADCIT +20.5CLT −20.5
TOTALOver 46.5Under 46.5
MONEYLINECIT +1000CLT −1800
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
The Citadel vs Charlotte Stats ComparisonThe Citadel vs Charlotte Stats Comparison
2025 stats| The CitadelCIT | CharlotteCLT | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 14.3#133 |
| – | PA/G | 36.3#131 |
| – | YDS/G | 285.8#132 |
| – | PASS/G | 204#94 |
| – | RUSH/G | 81.8#135 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 4.6#129 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 34.5%#111 |
| – | TO MARGIN | −8#117 |
| – | OFF PPA | -0.01#134 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.23#115 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 35.3%#129 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 52.2%#136 |
| – | RET PROD | 40.9% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.23#73 |
| – | SP+ | -24.1 |
| – | FPI | -14.6#126 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Jerry Richardson StadiumLocationCharlotte, NC
Capacity15,300
SurfaceTurf
Opened2013
Elevation625 ft
FAN NEWS
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