GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·TOL radioRocket Radio Network
OHIO radioOhio Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Ohio a 53% chance.
SeriesToledo leads 30–13–1 · Ohio won the last meeting, 24–7 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TOL
Home-field edge OHIO
Model projection OHIO
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Toledo @ Ohio
Your sims:Sims: OHIO 0, TOL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Toledo vs Ohio Stats ComparisonToledo vs Ohio Stats Comparison
2025 stats| ToledoTOL | OhioOHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8#37 | PPG | 27.8#66 |
| 13.3#4 | PA/G | 21.9#42 |
| 415.8#34 | YDS/G | 412.3#35 |
| 238.1#57 | PASS/G | 184.2#109 |
| 177.7#41 | RUSH/G | 228.2#9 |
| 6.2#27 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2#27 |
| 40.2%#64 | 3RD DOWN | 42.4%#42 |
| 0.20#43 | OFF PPA | 0.21#39 |
| 44.6%#43 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.9%#39 |
| 33.1%#4 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.2%#62 |
| 66.3% | RET PROD | 62.5% |
| 1.21#87 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#78 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | −2#81 |
| -0.08#1 | DEF PPA | 0.13#57 |
| -9.1 | SP+ | -11.8 |
| -3.0#79 | FPI | -8.0#97 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Peden StadiumLocationAthens, OH
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1929
Elevation637 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Toledo or Ohio?
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MORE WEEK 13 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
