GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·TOL radioRocket Radio Network
OHIO radioOhio Sports Network
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Toledo a 52% chance.
SeriesToledo leads 30–13–1 · Ohio won the last meeting, 24–7 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TOL
Home-field edge OHIO
Model projection TOL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Toledo @ Ohio
Your sims:Sims: OHIO 0, TOL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Toledo vs Ohio Stats ComparisonToledo vs Ohio Stats Comparison
| ToledoTOL | OhioOHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 36.3#28 | PPG | 30.4#63 |
| 23.6#69 | PA/G | 22.1#57 |
| 459#20 | YDS/G | 371.3#83 |
| 273.4#27 | PASS/G | 164.3#126 |
| 185.6#41 | RUSH/G | 207#24 |
| 6.7#20 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#70 |
| 43.6%#46 | 3RD DOWN | 51.6%#13 |
| 0.23#33 | OFF PPA | 0.21#40 |
| 43.6%#68 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.3%#34 |
| 32.9%#3 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.6%#70 |
| 66.3% | RET PROD | 62.5% |
| 1.38#14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14#113 |
| 1548 | ELO | 1430 |
| +0#70 | TO MARGIN | −3#100 |
| -0.03#28 | DEF PPA | 0.12#87 |
| -2.1 | SP+ | -6.7 |
| -3.4#84 | FPI | -7.1#95 |
| -0.8 | SRS | -6.1 |
THE VENUE
Peden StadiumLocationAthens, OH
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1929
Elevation637 ft
FAN NEWS
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