GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Wake Forest opens a 23.5-point favorite. Our model gives Wake Forest a 96% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
WAKE win
96% One-score game
10% Cover WAKE −23.5
60%
96% One-score game
10% Cover WAKE −23.5
60%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) WAKE
Home-field edge WAKE
Market lean WAKE
Model projection WAKE
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Akron @ Wake Forest
Your sims:Sims: WAKE 0, AKR 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Wake Forest95%
Akron6%
CFB Vibes ModelWAKE 96%MarketWAKE 95%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $42,862 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADAKR +23.5WAKE −23.5
TOTALOver 48.5Under 48.5
MONEYLINEAKR +1300WAKE −2800
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Akron vs Wake Forest Stats ComparisonAkron vs Wake Forest Stats Comparison
2025 stats| AkronAKR | Wake ForestWAKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.2#108 | PPG | 28.1#62 |
| 27.4#84 | PA/G | 22.1#44 |
| 355.4#92 | YDS/G | 393.8#63 |
| 219#79 | PASS/G | 237.7#58 |
| 136.4#92 | RUSH/G | 156.2#70 |
| 5.1#111 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 30.8%#131 | 3RD DOWN | 40.0%#67 |
| 0.07#117 | OFF PPA | 0.16#77 |
| 0.15#60 | DEF PPA | 0.04#13 |
| 39.5%#107 | OFF SUCCESS | 38.0%#116 |
| 40.3%#51 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.5%#10 |
| 91.8% | RET PROD | 14.2% |
| 1.18#105 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.48#3 |
| +3#46 | TO MARGIN | −6#108 |
| -22.9 | SP+ | 3.4 |
| -16.9#133 | FPI | 3.4#53 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Allegacy Federal Credit Union StadiumLocationWinston-Salem, NC
Capacity31,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation930 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Akron or Wake Forest?
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