GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives North Carolina a 76% chance.
SeriesNorth Carolina leads 3–1 · UConn won the last meeting, 27–14 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNC
Home-field edge CONN
Model projection UNC
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Carolina @ UConn
Your sims:Sims: CONN 0, UNC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3North Carolina
North Carolina2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs TCU15–10North Carolina2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Carolina vs UConn Stats ComparisonUNC vs UConn Stats Comparison
2025 stats| North CarolinaUNC | UConnCONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 19.2#120 | PPG | 35.3#15 |
| 24.5#65 | PA/G | 27#81 |
| 289.1#131 | YDS/G | 448.5#20 |
| 183.9#111 | PASS/G | 283.8#12 |
| 105.2#123 | RUSH/G | 164.7#60 |
| 4.9#120 | YDS/PLAY | 6.8#11 |
| 36.9%#94 | 3RD DOWN | 40.6%#59 |
| 0.06#122 | OFF PPA | 0.31#9 |
| 0.15#64 | DEF PPA | 0.21#108 |
| 38.8%#112 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.9%#28 |
| 41.4%#66 | DEF SUCCESS | 46.2%#125 |
| 27.8% | RET PROD | 2.3% |
| 1.16#116 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34#21 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +15#3 |
| 3.5 | SP+ | -11.9 |
| 4.9#42 | FPI | -11.2#114 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Pratt & Whitney StadiumLocationEast Hartford, CT
Capacity40,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2003
Elevation21 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about North Carolina or UConn?
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