GAME DAY
Week 10 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives North Carolina a 54% chance.
SeriesNorth Carolina leads 3–1 · UConn won the last meeting, 27–14 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNC
Home-field edge CONN
Model projection UNC
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Carolina @ UConn
Your sims:Sims: CONN 0, UNC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Carolina vs UConn Stats ComparisonUNC vs UConn Stats Comparison
| North CarolinaUNC | UConnCONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5#99 | PPG | 35.7#29 |
| 19.2#34 | PA/G | 25.2#81 |
| 329.7#117 | YDS/G | 451.8#24 |
| 213.5#89 | PASS/G | 256.5#43 |
| 116.2#120 | RUSH/G | 195.3#33 |
| 5.7#82 | YDS/PLAY | 6.9#12 |
| 37.3%#87 | 3RD DOWN | 41.9%#58 |
| 0.10#89 | OFF PPA | 0.22#34 |
| 0.02#46 | DEF PPA | 0.08#74 |
| 44.4%#58 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.9%#52 |
| 42.5%#94 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.3%#92 |
| 27.8% | RET PROD | 2.3% |
| 1.11#125 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.40#7 |
| 1470 | ELO | 1483 |
| −2#91 | TO MARGIN | +0#70 |
| 5.0 | SP+ | -0.3 |
| 8.7#41 | FPI | -6.0#93 |
| 9.5 | SRS | -3.8 |
THE VENUE
Pratt & Whitney StadiumLocationEast Hartford, CT
Capacity40,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2003
Elevation21 ft
FAN NEWS
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