GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDLOU radioCardinal Sports Network
UNC radioTar Heel Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Louisville a 60% chance.
SeriesLouisville leads 5–3 · Louisville won the last meeting, 47–35 · 2017
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LOU
Home-field edge UNC
Model projection LOU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Louisville @ North Carolina
Your sims:Sims: UNC 0, LOU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Louisville vs North Carolina Stats ComparisonLouisville vs UNC Stats Comparison
| LouisvilleLOU | North CarolinaUNC | |
|---|---|---|
| 38.7#16 | PPG | 23.5#99 |
| 27.4#103 | PA/G | 19.2#34 |
| 484.6#10 | YDS/G | 329.7#117 |
| 269.6#30 | PASS/G | 213.5#89 |
| 215#20 | RUSH/G | 116.2#120 |
| 7.7#2 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#82 |
| 45.6%#33 | 3RD DOWN | 37.3%#87 |
| 0.32#10 | OFF PPA | 0.10#89 |
| 0.09#79 | DEF PPA | 0.02#46 |
| 48.9%#19 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.4%#58 |
| 41.0%#75 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.5%#94 |
| 34.8% | RET PROD | 27.8% |
| 1.42#3 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.11#125 |
| 1713 | ELO | 1470 |
| 13.0 | SP+ | 4.9 |
| 13.3#23 | FPI | 8.7#41 |
| 10.7 | SRS | 9.5 |
| +6#13 | TO MARGIN | −2#91 |
THE VENUE
Kenan StadiumLocationChapel Hill, NC
Capacity50,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1927
Elevation419 ft
FAN NEWS
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