GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Nevada a 89% chance.
SeriesNevada leads 3–0 · Nevada won the last meeting, 31–7 · 1996
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NEV
Home-field edge NEV
Model projection NEV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Montana State @ Nevada
Your sims:Sims: NEV 0, MTST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Montana StateMontana State2025: 0–1
Lat Oregon59–13Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Montana State vs Nevada Stats ComparisonMTST vs Nevada Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Montana StateMTST | NevadaNEV | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 17.6#128 |
| – | PA/G | 27.5#87 |
| – | YDS/G | 302.4#126 |
| – | PASS/G | 147.2#127 |
| – | RUSH/G | 155.2#73 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5#117 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 32.1%#127 |
| – | TO MARGIN | −12#129 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.03#127 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.19#90 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 37.1%#120 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 42.6%#87 |
| – | RET PROD | 35.5% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#90 |
| – | SP+ | -11.7 |
| – | FPI | -11.9#116 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Mackay StadiumLocationReno, NV
Capacity27,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1966
Elevation4,615 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Montana State or Nevada?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
