GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Colorado State opens a 3-point favorite. Our model gives Colorado State a 57% chance.
SeriesColorado State leads 57–52–5 · Wyoming won the last meeting, 28–0 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) WYO
Home-field edge CSU
Market lean CSU
Model projection CSU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Wyoming @ Colorado State
Your sims:Sims: CSU 0, WYO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Colorado State
Colorado State2025: 2–10 (1–7 MWC)
Lvs Air Force42–21Lat Boise State49–21Lat New Mexico20–17Colorado State2025: 2–10 (1–7 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADWYO +3CSU −3
TOTALOver 46.5Under 46.5
MONEYLINEWYO +136CSU −162
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Wyoming vs Colorado State Stats ComparisonWyoming vs CSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| WyomingWYO | Colorado StateCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 16#131 | PPG | 18.5#124 |
| 20.5#30 | PA/G | 30.8#113 |
| 314.8#122 | YDS/G | 324.2#117 |
| 183#113 | PASS/G | 215.9#86 |
| 131.8#99 | RUSH/G | 108.2#120 |
| 4.9#120 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1#111 |
| 33.7%#118 | 3RD DOWN | 32.9%#122 |
| 0.05#124 | OFF PPA | 0.12#94 |
| 0.07#25 | DEF PPA | 0.24#118 |
| 37.9%#117 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.8%#103 |
| 37.8%#25 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.9%#119 |
| 23.0% | RET PROD | 39.6% |
| 1.17#112 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#86 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | −4#98 |
| -10.8 | SP+ | -11.6 |
| -13.1#121 | FPI | -12.4#118 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Canvas StadiumLocationFort Collins, CO
Capacity36,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation5,014 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
