GAME DAY
Week 9 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UNLV a 95% chance.
SeriesNorthern Illinois leads 5–0 · Northern Illinois won the last meeting, 38–30 · 2015
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNLV
Home-field edge UNLV
Model projection UNLV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Illinois @ UNLV
Your sims:Sims: UNLV 0, NIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Northern Illinois
Lat Wyoming41–23Lvs Air Force28–7Lat Georgia State35–14
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelUNLV 95%MarketUNLV 90%
Market 5 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $47 traded · as of Oct 20, 8:20 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northern Illinois vs UNLV Stats ComparisonNIU vs UNLV Stats Comparison
| Northern IllinoisNIU | UNLVUNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| 14.2#137 | PPG | 24.1#94 |
| 35.7#132 | PA/G | 23.7#70 |
| 307.7#130 | YDS/G | 371.3#83 |
| 206.7#95 | PASS/G | 200#99 |
| 101#133 | RUSH/G | 171.3#52 |
| 4.9#124 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#86 |
| 30.9%#128 | 3RD DOWN | 41.3%#68 |
| 0.22#122 | DEF PPA | 0.07#70 |
| 37.0%#128 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.9%#124 |
| 49.9%#136 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.2%#62 |
| 43.7% | RET PROD | 15.4% |
| 1.20#87 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#61 |
| 1139 | ELO | 1489 |
| −1#82 | TO MARGIN | +0#70 |
| -0.07#132 | OFF PPA | 0.08#97 |
| -23.5 | SP+ | -0.9 |
| -20.1#131 | FPI | -2.1#78 |
| -20.1 | SRS | -3.9 |
THE VENUE
Allegiant StadiumLocationLas Vegas, NV
Capacity65,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2020
Elevation2,185 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Northern Illinois or UNLV?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 9 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
