GAME DAY
Week 8 · TBDUL MonroeULM0–0·SBC
ULM radioWarhawk Sports Network
TROY radioTroy Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Troy a 93% chance.
SeriesTroy leads 11–8 · Troy won the last meeting, 37–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TROY
Home-field edge TROY
Model projection TROY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UL Monroe @ Troy
Your sims:Sims: TROY 0, ULM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3UL Monroe
UL Monroe2025: 3–9 (1–7 SBC)
Lat Louisiana30–27 (OT)Lat Texas State31–14Lvs South Alabama26–14UL Monroe2025: 3–9 (1–7 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UL Monroe vs Troy Stats ComparisonUL Monroe vs Troy Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UL MonroeULM | TroyTROY | |
|---|---|---|
| 16.6#130 | PPG | 23.5#95 |
| 31.9#119 | PA/G | 23.9#58 |
| 322.2#118 | YDS/G | 307.2#124 |
| 159.6#124 | PASS/G | 209.2#90 |
| 162.6#63 | RUSH/G | 98#131 |
| 5.3#97 | YDS/PLAY | 4.6#129 |
| 32.7%#124 | 3RD DOWN | 38.8%#80 |
| 0.08#115 | OFF PPA | 0.08#113 |
| 0.19#90 | DEF PPA | 0.11#50 |
| 37.0%#121 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.9%#117 |
| 40.7%#57 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.6%#47 |
| 38.7% | RET PROD | 35.3% |
| 1.37#11 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30#40 |
| −10#123 | TO MARGIN | +0#72 |
| -28.9 | SP+ | -8.0 |
| -19.3#138 | FPI | -7.4#95 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)LocationTroy, AL
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1950
Elevation508 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 8 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
