UL Monroe at Troy: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

GAME DAY

Week 8 · Sat, Oct 24 · 3:00 PM CDT3:00 PM CDT

UL MonroeULM0–6·SBC

TroyTROY3–3·SBC

StreamingESPN+

ULM radioWarhawk Sports Network

TROY radioTroy Sports Network

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Terms & eligibility

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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Troy opens a 15.5-point favorite. Our model gives Troy a 83% chance.

SeriesTroy leads 11–8 · Troy won the last meeting, 37–14 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY

TROY 83% ULM 17%

PROJECTED FINAL

Troy

UL Monroe

TROY win
83% One-score game
26%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) TROY

Home-field edge TROY

Market lean TROY

Model projection TROY

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

UL Monroe @ Troy

Your sims:Sims: TROY 0, ULM 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

UL Monroe

2026: 0–6 (0–2 SBC)

Lvs Louisiana Tech24–0 Lat South Alabama52–35 Lvs Florida Atlantic45–17

Troy

2026: 3–3 (1–1 SBC)

Lat Louisiana33–6 Wvs Southern Miss55–34 Lat Utah State21–10

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADULM +15.5TROY −15.5

TOTALOver 51.5Under 51.5

MONEYLINEULM +500TROY −700

DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice

UL Monroe vs Troy Stats ComparisonUL Monroe vs Troy Stats Comparison

UL MonroeULM		TroyTROY
20#121	PPG	24.3#92
41.2#137	PA/G	25.5#83
341#109	YDS/G	402.7#63
218.5#81	PASS/G	198#102
122.5#113	RUSH/G	204.7#27
5.3#111	YDS/PLAY	5.8#70
30.9%#128	3RD DOWN	36.5%#98
0.30#136	DEF PPA	0.08#77
41.9%#84	OFF SUCCESS	41.3%#91
49.4%#135	DEF SUCCESS	40.9%#72
38.7%	RET PROD	35.3%
1.14#116	EXPLOSIVE	1.25#59
991	ELO	1359
−5#120	TO MARGIN	+0#70
-0.04#130	OFF PPA	0.09#95
-28.4	SP+	-6.6
-26.3#137	FPI	-9.6#105
-24.8	SRS	-11.7

THE VENUE

Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)

LocationTroy, AL

Capacity30,000

SurfaceTurf

Opened1950

Elevation508 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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