GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·TROY radioTroy Sports Network
JMU radioJMU Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives James Madison a 89% chance.
SeriesJames Madison leads 2–0 since 2023 · James Madison won the last meeting, 31–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) JMU
Home-field edge JMU
Model projection JMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Troy @ James Madison
Your sims:Sims: JMU 0, TROY 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
James Madison
Wvs Georgia State49–22Wat Georgia Southern27–24Wvs Marshall45–17
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelJMU 89%MarketJMU 86%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $431 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:00 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Troy vs James Madison Stats ComparisonTroy vs JMU Stats Comparison
| TroyTROY | James MadisonJMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.3#92 | PPG | 42.9#3 |
| 25.5#83 | PA/G | 16#19 |
| 402.7#63 | YDS/G | 461#18 |
| 198#102 | PASS/G | 237.4#60 |
| 204.7#27 | RUSH/G | 223.6#14 |
| 5.8#70 | YDS/PLAY | 6.8#14 |
| 36.5%#98 | 3RD DOWN | 40.4%#76 |
| 0.09#95 | OFF PPA | 0.29#16 |
| 41.3%#91 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.2%#37 |
| 40.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.5%#28 |
| 35.3% | RET PROD | 8.0% |
| 1.25#59 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#63 |
| 1359 | ELO | 1826 |
| +0#70 | TO MARGIN | +7#10 |
| 0.08#77 | DEF PPA | -0.04#18 |
| -6.6 | SP+ | 9.4 |
| -9.6#105 | FPI | 7.0#46 |
| -11.7 | SRS | 9.8 |
THE VENUE
Bridgeforth StadiumLocationHarrisonburg, VA
Capacity24,877
SurfaceTurf
Opened1975
Elevation1,310 ft
FAN NEWS
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