GAME DAY
Week 6 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Florida International a 68% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 2–2 · Florida International won the last meeting, 34–13 · 2024
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
FIU win
68% One-score game
35%
68% One-score game
35%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FIU
Home-field edge FIU
Model projection FIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
New Mexico St @ Florida International
Your sims:Sims: FIU 0, NMSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3New Mexico State
New Mexico State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)
Lat Florida State34–17New Mexico State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
New Mexico State vs Florida International Stats ComparisonNMSU vs FIU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| New Mexico StateNMSU | Florida InternationalFIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.6#111 | PPG | 28.5#61 |
| 27.6#88 | PA/G | 30#105 |
| 327.8#115 | YDS/G | 397#59 |
| 250.3#45 | PASS/G | 215.4#87 |
| 77.4#136 | RUSH/G | 181.6#36 |
| 4.8#127 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| 41.7%#45 | 3RD DOWN | 35.8%#103 |
| 0.03#128 | OFF PPA | 0.16#78 |
| 0.10#41 | DEF PPA | 0.15#66 |
| 36.4%#124 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.7%#89 |
| 41.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.9%#72 |
| 24.4% | RET PROD | 31.6% |
| 1.25#58 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31#35 |
| −1#77 | TO MARGIN | +0#72 |
| -18.5 | SP+ | -14.5 |
| -15.7#129 | FPI | -12.6#119 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Pitbull StadiumLocationMiami, FL
Capacity20,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1995
Elevation20 ft
FAN NEWS
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