GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Cincinnati a 75% chance.
SeriesCincinnati leads 35–34–1 · Cincinnati won the last meeting, 27–16 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) CIN
Home-field edge CIN
Model projection CIN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Miami (OH) @ Cincinnati
Your sims:Sims: CIN 0, M-OH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Miami (OH)
Miami (OH)2025: 7–7 (6–2 MAC)
Lvs Fresno State18–3Lvs Western Michigan23–13Wvs Ball State45–24Miami (OH)2025: 7–7 (6–2 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati Stats ComparisonMiami (OH) vs Cincinnati Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Miami (OH)M-OH | CincinnatiCIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5#95 | PPG | 30.3#43 |
| 21.7#41 | PA/G | 25.6#74 |
| 338.1#108 | YDS/G | 407.6#43 |
| 187.3#106 | PASS/G | 230.2#62 |
| 150.8#78 | RUSH/G | 177.5#42 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 6.9#8 |
| 34.7%#109 | 3RD DOWN | 38.7%#81 |
| 0.10#104 | OFF PPA | 0.30#15 |
| 0.09#34 | DEF PPA | 0.19#93 |
| 39.4%#109 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.8%#20 |
| 39.3%#44 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.9%#101 |
| 13.9% | RET PROD | 8.3% |
| 1.21#93 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#30 |
| +5#35 | TO MARGIN | −4#98 |
| -4.0 | SP+ | 3.0 |
| -7.0#94 | FPI | 4.4#46 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
TQL StadiumLocationCincinnati, OH
Capacity26,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2021
Elevation531 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Miami (OH) or Cincinnati?
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MORE WEEK 3 GAMES
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