GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·Notre DameND6–1
ND radioNotre Dame Radio Network
NAVY radioNavy Football Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Notre Dame a 98% chance.
SeriesNotre Dame leads 84–13–1 · Notre Dame won the last meeting, 49–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) ND
Neutral site EVEN
Model projection ND
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around a league-typical total.
Notre Dame vs Navy
Your sims:Sims: NAVY 0, ND 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelND 98%MarketND 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $96,619 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:00 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Notre Dame vs Navy Stats ComparisonNotre Dame vs Navy Stats Comparison
| Notre DameND | NavyNAVY | |
|---|---|---|
| 41.1#6 | PPG | 28.2#76 |
| 13.4#5 | PA/G | 25.8#91 |
| 445.1#34 | YDS/G | 414#54 |
| 261.7#38 | PASS/G | 115.5#134 |
| 183.4#44 | RUSH/G | 298.5#4 |
| 6.5#28 | YDS/PLAY | 6.4#37 |
| 44.0%#44 | 3RD DOWN | 43.5%#47 |
| 0.34#6 | OFF PPA | 0.23#31 |
| 50.9%#8 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.9%#31 |
| 35.7%#25 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.4%#38 |
| 51.2% | RET PROD | 13.8% |
| 1.17#100 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.19#91 |
| 2082 | ELO | 1493 |
| +14#2 | TO MARGIN | −6#128 |
| -0.05#14 | DEF PPA | 0.12#95 |
| 28.0 | SP+ | -0.2 |
| 27.9#2 | FPI | -5.5#91 |
| 22.4 | SRS | -6.7 |
THE VENUE
Gillette StadiumLocationFoxborough, MA
Capacity68,756
SurfaceTurf
Opened2002
Elevation256 ft
FAN NEWS
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