GAME DAY
Week 5 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Tulsa a 71% chance.
SeriesTulsa leads 17–9 · North Texas won the last meeting, 52–20 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TLSA
Home-field edge TLSA
Model projection TLSA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Texas @ Tulsa
Your sims:Sims: TLSA 0, UNT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Texas vs Tulsa Stats ComparisonNorth Texas vs Tulsa Stats Comparison
2025 stats| North TexasUNT | TulsaTLSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 45.1#1 | PPG | 23.2#100 |
| 26.5#76 | PA/G | 28.9#94 |
| 511.4#1 | YDS/G | 398.5#57 |
| 317.3#2 | PASS/G | 222.5#71 |
| 194.1#25 | RUSH/G | 176#48 |
| 7.2#3 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#97 |
| 45.9%#24 | 3RD DOWN | 37.9%#88 |
| 0.35#2 | OFF PPA | 0.11#99 |
| 0.16#74 | DEF PPA | 0.15#68 |
| 51.6%#2 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.5%#93 |
| 42.0%#77 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.5%#84 |
| 2.5% | RET PROD | 41.3% |
| 1.31#33 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26#52 |
| +9#14 | TO MARGIN | −8#117 |
| -11.6 | SP+ | -6.1 |
| -6.4#90 | FPI | -9.0#105 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Chapman StadiumLocationTulsa, OK
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1930
Elevation773 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about North Texas or Tulsa?
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MORE WEEK 5 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
