GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·MichiganMICH4–2·B1G
RutgersRUTG2–4·B1G
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Michigan a 78% chance.
SeriesMichigan leads 9–1 · Michigan won the last meeting, 31–7 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MICH
Home-field edge RUTG
Model projection MICH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Michigan @ Rutgers
Your sims:Sims: RUTG 0, MICH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelMICH 78%MarketMICH 79%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $53 traded · as of Oct 20, 2:20 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Michigan vs Rutgers Stats ComparisonMichigan vs Rutgers Stats Comparison
| MichiganMICH | RutgersRUTG | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.7#105 | PPG | 31.2#58 |
| 16.2#21 | PA/G | 31.8#119 |
| 313.3#125 | YDS/G | 403.8#61 |
| 165.7#125 | PASS/G | 265.8#35 |
| 147.7#84 | RUSH/G | 138#98 |
| 5.4#104 | YDS/PLAY | 6#57 |
| 40.8%#72 | 3RD DOWN | 41.9%#58 |
| 0.09#93 | OFF PPA | 0.15#69 |
| 42.0%#83 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.4%#48 |
| 34.1%#10 | DEF SUCCESS | 45.5%#119 |
| 69.2% | RET PROD | 44.4% |
| 1.19#94 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#25 |
| 1721 | ELO | 1390 |
| −3#100 | TO MARGIN | −5#121 |
| -0.11#8 | DEF PPA | 0.22#124 |
| 13.0 | SP+ | -3.8 |
| 10.9#32 | FPI | -3.1#83 |
| 3.8 | SRS | -6.3 |
THE VENUE
SHI StadiumLocationPiscataway, NJ
Capacity52,454
SurfaceTurf
Opened1994
Elevation62 ft
FAN NEWS
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