GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·TVCBSSN
StreamingParamount+
MTSU radioBlue Raider Sports Network
LIB radioLiberty Flames Sports Network
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Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Liberty a 97% chance.
SeriesLiberty leads 3–0 since 2021 · Liberty won the last meeting, 37–17 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LIB
Home-field edge LIB
Model projection LIB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Middle Tennessee @ Liberty
Your sims:Sims: LIB 0, MTSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Middle Tennessee
Wvs Delaware33–30Lat Kansas55–0Lat Jacksonville State23–13
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Middle Tennessee vs Liberty Stats ComparisonMTSU vs Liberty Stats Comparison
| Middle TennesseeMTSU | LibertyLIB | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.8#103 | PPG | 31.2#58 |
| 28.3#109 | PA/G | 15.3#15 |
| 321.5#122 | YDS/G | 415.8#52 |
| 200.7#98 | PASS/G | 192.8#105 |
| 120.8#114 | RUSH/G | 223#15 |
| 5.6#86 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5#28 |
| 26.2%#137 | 3RD DOWN | 45.2%#35 |
| +4#22 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| 0.13#79 | OFF PPA | 0.17#59 |
| 39.2%#112 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.0%#27 |
| 49.1%#134 | DEF SUCCESS | 34.1%#10 |
| 32.5% | RET PROD | 38.3% |
| 1.26#51 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13#117 |
| 1149 | ELO | 1746 |
| 0.22#123 | DEF PPA | -0.04#19 |
| -19.5 | SP+ | 7.3 |
| -18.3#130 | FPI | 0.7#64 |
| -16.9 | SRS | 2.7 |
THE VENUE
Williams Stadium (VA)LocationLynchburg, VA
Capacity25,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1989
Elevation895 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Middle Tennessee or Liberty?
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