GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·NebraskaNEB0–0·B1G
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Nebraska opens a 23.5-point favorite. Our model gives Nebraska a 95% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) NEB
Home-field edge NEB
Market lean NEB
Model projection NEB
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Ohio @ Nebraska
Your sims:Sims: NEB 0, OHIO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelNEB 95%MarketNEB 94%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $23,357 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADOHIO +23.5NEB −23.5
TOTALOver 45.5Under 45.5
MONEYLINEOHIO +1400NEB −3200
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Ohio vs Nebraska Stats ComparisonOhio vs Nebraska Stats Comparison
2025 stats| OhioOHIO | NebraskaNEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.8#66 | PPG | 28.7#59 |
| 21.9#42 | PA/G | 24.6#67 |
| 412.3#35 | YDS/G | 372.5#81 |
| 184.2#109 | PASS/G | 224.6#68 |
| 228.2#9 | RUSH/G | 147.8#79 |
| 6.2#27 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 42.4%#42 | 3RD DOWN | 45.7%#27 |
| 0.21#39 | OFF PPA | 0.18#55 |
| 0.13#57 | DEF PPA | 0.19#93 |
| 44.9%#39 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.9%#19 |
| 41.2%#62 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.6%#87 |
| 62.5% | RET PROD | 46.3% |
| 1.22#78 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.11#132 |
| −2#81 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| -11.8 | SP+ | 9.3 |
| -8.0#97 | FPI | 8.8#30 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationLincoln, NE
Capacity85,458
SurfaceTurf
Opened1923
Elevation1,164 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Ohio or Nebraska?
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
