GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Western Michigan a 94% chance.
SeriesWestern Michigan leads 1–0 · Western Michigan won the last meeting, 48–13 · 2019
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: WMU 0, MONM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Western Michigan2025: 10–4 (7–1 MAC)Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
- Western Michigan80%
- Monmouth28%
Market 14 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $138 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Monmouth vs Western Michigan Stats ComparisonMonmouth vs WMU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MonmouthMONM | Western MichiganWMU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 24.9#88 |
| – | PA/G | 17.4#9 |
| – | YDS/G | 343#103 |
| – | PASS/G | 138.5#130 |
| – | RUSH/G | 204.5#16 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#104 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 40.3%#62 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +9#14 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.10#106 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.05#17 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 42.3%#69 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 37.5%#23 |
| – | RET PROD | 99.7% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.05#136 |
| – | SP+ | -6.0 |
| – | FPI | -4.0#82 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Waldo StadiumFAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Monmouth or Western Michigan?
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