GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Liberty a 57% chance.
SeriesKennesaw State leads 3–2 · Kennesaw State won the last meeting, 48–42 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LIB
Home-field edge KENN
Model projection LIB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Liberty @ Kennesaw State
Your sims:Sims: KENN 0, LIB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Liberty
Liberty2025: 4–8 (3–5 CUSA)
Lvs Kennesaw State48–42 (OT)Lat Louisiana Tech34–28 (OT)Lat Florida International34–27 (OT)Liberty2025: 4–8 (3–5 CUSA)Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State2025: 10–4 (7–1 CUSA)
Lvs Western Michigan41–6Wat Jacksonville State19–15Wat Liberty48–42 (OT)Kennesaw State2025: 10–4 (7–1 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Liberty vs Kennesaw State Stats ComparisonLiberty vs KENN Stats Comparison
2025 stats| LibertyLIB | Kennesaw StateKENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.6#83 | PPG | 26.7#75 |
| 26.5#76 | PA/G | 25.5#73 |
| 388.5#70 | YDS/G | 403.1#51 |
| 195.5#101 | PASS/G | 243.1#53 |
| 193#26 | RUSH/G | 160.1#66 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 40.1%#65 | 3RD DOWN | 40.0%#67 |
| 0.17#67 | OFF PPA | 0.15#79 |
| 0.20#105 | DEF PPA | 0.17#77 |
| 43.5%#51 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.1%#83 |
| 41.5%#68 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.3%#80 |
| 38.3% | RET PROD | 6.1% |
| 1.21#92 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33#23 |
| −7#112 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| -5.3 | SP+ | -12.9 |
| -7.7#96 | FPI | -9.0#106 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Fifth Third StadiumLocationKennesaw, GA
Capacity11,040
SurfaceGrass
Opened2010
Elevation974 ft
FAN NEWS
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