GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Liberty opens a 10.5-point favorite. Our model gives Liberty a 77% chance.
SeriesKennesaw State leads 3–2 since 2015 · Kennesaw State won the last meeting, 48–42 · 2025
23% One-score game
33% Cover LIB −10.5
52%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: KENN 0, LIB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $6,165 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:40 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Liberty vs Kennesaw State Stats ComparisonLiberty vs KENN Stats Comparison
| LibertyLIB | Kennesaw StateKENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.2#58 | PPG | 22.3#106 |
| 15.3#15 | PA/G | 23.5#66 |
| 415.8#52 | YDS/G | 367.3#86 |
| 192.8#105 | PASS/G | 223.7#78 |
| 223#15 | RUSH/G | 143.7#88 |
| 6.5#28 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#86 |
| 45.2%#35 | 3RD DOWN | 40.8%#72 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | +2#47 |
| 0.17#59 | OFF PPA | 0.10#90 |
| 48.0%#28 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.5%#56 |
| 34.1%#10 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.5%#94 |
| 38.3% | RET PROD | 6.1% |
| 1.13#117 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.09#131 |
| 1746 | ELO | 1288 |
| -0.04#18 | DEF PPA | 0.12#89 |
| 7.3 | SP+ | -9.8 |
| 0.7#64 | FPI | -11.4#109 |
| 2.7 | SRS | -9.7 |
THE VENUE
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