GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·APP radioApp State Sports Network
GASO radioGeorgia Southern Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Georgia Southern a 64% chance.
SeriesApp State leads 14–10 since 2003 · Georgia Southern won the last meeting, 29–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) GASO
Home-field edge GASO
Model projection GASO
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
App State @ Georgia Southern
Your sims:Sims: GASO 0, APP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Georgia Southern
Wat Old Dominion23–15Lvs James Madison27–24Wat Coastal Carolina31–24
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
App State vs Georgia Southern Stats ComparisonApp State vs GASO Stats Comparison
| App StateAPP | Georgia SouthernGASO | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.5#69 | PPG | 24.4#91 |
| 21.8#54 | PA/G | 23#63 |
| 421.8#47 | YDS/G | 397.1#64 |
| 267.7#31 | PASS/G | 275.3#24 |
| 154.2#71 | RUSH/G | 121.9#113 |
| 6.1#53 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#70 |
| 35.9%#106 | 3RD DOWN | 39.2%#81 |
| +4#22 | TO MARGIN | +2#47 |
| 0.16#66 | OFF PPA | 0.14#73 |
| 0.05#62 | DEF PPA | 0.05#59 |
| 44.1%#59 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.6%#68 |
| 41.5%#82 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.1%#45 |
| 37.9% | RET PROD | 5.8% |
| 1.27#46 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#96 |
| 1301 | ELO | 1374 |
| -6.0 | SP+ | -4.6 |
| -8.9#101 | FPI | -4.6#89 |
| -10.1 | SRS | -3.0 |
THE VENUE
Allen E. Paulson StadiumLocationStatesboro, GA
Capacity25,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1984
Elevation201 ft
FAN NEWS
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