GAME DAY
Week 9 · TBDAPP radioApp State Sports Network
GASO radioEagle Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Georgia Southern a 65% chance.
SeriesApp State leads 14–10 · Georgia Southern won the last meeting, 29–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) GASO
Home-field edge GASO
Model projection GASO
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
App State @ Georgia Southern
Your sims:Sims: GASO 0, APP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3App State
App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern29–10Lvs Arkansas State30–29Wvs Marshall26–24App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern2025: 7–6 (4–4 SBC)
Wvs App State29–10Wat Marshall24–19Lvs Old Dominion45–10Georgia Southern2025: 7–6 (4–4 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
App State vs Georgia Southern Stats ComparisonApp State vs GASO Stats Comparison
2025 stats| App StateAPP | Georgia SouthernGASO | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.2#91 | PPG | 27.9#65 |
| 29.8#101 | PA/G | 32.3#120 |
| 384.9#71 | YDS/G | 402.3#53 |
| 256.5#34 | PASS/G | 247#47 |
| 128.4#102 | RUSH/G | 155.3#72 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 32.8%#123 | 3RD DOWN | 44.7%#31 |
| 0.10#107 | OFF PPA | 0.20#45 |
| 0.18#86 | DEF PPA | 0.27#130 |
| 40.9%#86 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.1%#45 |
| 44.8%#115 | DEF SUCCESS | 48.8%#132 |
| 37.9% | RET PROD | 5.8% |
| 1.19#104 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.23#71 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| -12.7 | SP+ | -10.8 |
| -9.8#109 | FPI | -8.7#103 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Allen E. Paulson StadiumLocationStatesboro, GA
Capacity25,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1984
Elevation201 ft
FAN NEWS
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