GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Army a 58% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · Army won the last meeting, 42–35 · 2004
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) USF
Home-field edge ARMY
Model projection ARMY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Florida @ Army
Your sims:Sims: ARMY 0, USF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Army67%
CFB Vibes ModelARMY 58%MarketARMY 67%
Market 9 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $7 traded · as of Sep 1, 9:36 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Florida vs Army Stats ComparisonUSF vs Army Stats Comparison
2025 stats| South FloridaUSF | ArmyARMY | |
|---|---|---|
| 40.5#5 | PPG | 23.8#94 |
| 23.4#53 | PA/G | 21.6#39 |
| 487.8#3 | YDS/G | 335.8#110 |
| 275.6#18 | PASS/G | 80.8#136 |
| 212.2#13 | RUSH/G | 255#4 |
| 7#5 | YDS/PLAY | 5#117 |
| 46.4%#20 | 3RD DOWN | 41.2%#51 |
| +5#35 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| 0.30#17 | OFF PPA | 0.18#54 |
| 0.08#30 | DEF PPA | 0.17#84 |
| 46.7%#22 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.2%#70 |
| 37.9%#27 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.8%#115 |
| 12.6% | RET PROD | 80.2% |
| 1.30#38 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14#125 |
| -1.7 | SP+ | -2.4 |
| -0.9#73 | FPI | -5.6#89 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Michie StadiumLocationWest Point, NY
Capacity38,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1924
Elevation326 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about South Florida or Army?
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