GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·MASS radioMinuteman Sports Network
BGSU radioFalcon Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Massachusetts a 61% chance.
SeriesBowling Green leads 5–0 · Bowling Green won the last meeting, 45–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MASS
Home-field edge BGSU
Model projection MASS
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Massachusetts @ Bowling Green
Your sims:Sims: BGSU 0, MASS 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Massachusetts
Lat Buffalo25–18 (OT)Lvs Miami (OH)20–19Lvs Eastern Michigan38–14
Bowling Green
Lvs Ball State32–31 (OT)Wvs Sacramento State38–10Wat Miami (OH)24–20
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Massachusetts vs Bowling Green Stats ComparisonMASS vs BGSU Stats Comparison
| MassachusettsMASS | Bowling GreenBGSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28#77 | PPG | 18#129 |
| 19.1#33 | PA/G | 29.6#114 |
| 339.1#113 | YDS/G | 280.4#136 |
| 179#117 | PASS/G | 174.4#121 |
| 160.1#64 | RUSH/G | 106#127 |
| 5.9#64 | YDS/PLAY | 4.8#130 |
| 35.4%#108 | 3RD DOWN | 36.5%#98 |
| 43.3%#72 | OFF SUCCESS | 38.9%#116 |
| 38.7%#49 | DEF SUCCESS | 46.9%#128 |
| 1.19#92 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.08#133 |
| 1132 | ELO | 1234 |
| +7#10 | TO MARGIN | −1#82 |
| 0.16#66 | OFF PPA | -0.01#123 |
| -0.03#29 | DEF PPA | 0.15#109 |
| -56.7% | RET PROD | -6.2% |
| -9.5 | SP+ | -17.9 |
| -13.8#118 | FPI | -17.7#129 |
| -13.6 | SRS | -14.0 |
THE VENUE
Doyt L. Perry StadiumLocationBowling Green, OH
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1966
Elevation676 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Massachusetts or Bowling Green?
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